DISQUS

Technosailor: Giants over Saints- An advantage?

  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    As an AFC guy, and a Ravens fan, I'm not keen on the Skins. But you make a good point about the matchups. Fortunately for the skins though, Fedex field is one of the loudest stadiums in the NFL and holds 80,000 fans... the largest capacity in the NFL.

    However, with Carolina only 5 hours away by car, you can bet that its not going to be a sold out Skins crowd. But who's to say... I just don't think you can factor out the 12th man.
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Yeah, the skins would definitely have a good advantage at home versus playing the Bucs on the road tommorow, and in the end all you can do is speculate about how things would have turned out, but I think the Skins will be better off against the Bucs than against the Panthers.

    Have any predictions for the Saturday games?
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    Sure:

    Washington-Tampa: Washington by 10
    Jacksonville-New England: New England by 17

    Sunday-
    Carolina-New York: Carolina by 5
    Pittsburgh-Cincinatti: Cincy by 13
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    You're kidding me. Cincinnati by 13?

    Game I- Pittsburgh destroys them.
    Game II- Cincy barley pulls off a seven point win against a quarterback with a bad thumb.
    Game III- A 13 points win? I don't think so.

    I'll take Pittsburgh by 10
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    They both have the same record and both have a winning record in division. However, Pittsburgh offense is seriously lacking both in the run and pass department and Carson is getting his head nicely around the no-huddle.

    On defense: advantage Pittsburgh but if Cincy can return to the form of early in the season when they led the league in forcing turnovers, then the advantage would be a wash. Whose starting at Q for Pttsburgh? Roethisberger? Do you think he's good enough to win in Cincy in the playoffs after an innjury? Not so sure...
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Pittsburgh lacking in the run department?

    They have Willie Parker with 4.3 speed who has over 1000 yards this season, Jerome Bettis in short, and Duce Staley when they need him.

    They are number five in the league in rushing yards/game (Bengals are 11th), Ben Roethlisberger has the third highest passer rating in the league (a tiny bit below Manning and Palmer) which isn't so bad, and their total offensive touchdowns are only a few below the Bengals. Sure, the Bengals put up 38 points on them, but that was rare, and you have to remember the Steelers put up 31 points. Earlier in the season the Steelers put up 27 points against the Bengals.

    As for the defense, the Steelers have one of the best in the NFL, and the Bengals defense sucks, though they get a bunch of takeaways. Considering that most of their takeaways were against NFC North quarterbacks, and considering their number of takeaways has gone down through the last few weeks, I wouldn't expect them to suddenly bounce back against Pittsburgh.
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    Obviously passionate about this, aren't you? :) I should qualify some comments. I know Pit has Willie Parker. His longest rush in Decmber was 80 yars. Take that unusual run away and he is averaging 4 yards a carry. Nothing to sneeze at but far from the 5.2 that is his official average in December with that 80 yard run. In fact, his average rushes per game is 71.5... good but not stellar.

    If Cincinatti can put 10 points between themselves and Pittsburgh early (and how hard is that with an efficient hurry-up offense?) then Willie Parker becomes a non-factor. Now you've eleiminated the running game and force Big Ben to pass 90% of the time.

    I still give the advantage to the Bengals. And I think it will be decisive.
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Alrighty:

    1. Willie Parker has fewer yards than you'd like because he shares the carries with several other backs.
    2. He has fewer carries than any other thousand-yard running back in the league. That should tell you something.
    3. While we're onto this December thing-

    Carson Palmer's rating over the December and January games: 101.5, 53.5, 95.5, 86.1, 82.3. Roethlisberger's- 94.2, 109, 99, 120, 34.1. Take out Palmer's lowest and Roethlisberger's lowest, and look who's playing better.

    The Bengals have averaged 26.4 points a game, and allowed 28.4 points a game. The Steelers have averaged 29.2 points a game, and allowed 14.2 points a game.
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    Sunday will tell won't it? :)
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    I can't wait. We're looking at four really, really good games this week. better than last year, and last year was pretty darn goodd
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    My predictions are pretty damn close so far...
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    I also had the Skins by 10
  • Eric Coleman · 3 years ago
    Well, im a pittsburgh fan, have been for a long time, and I can say, that if palmer and henry werent hurt in the first 4 or so plays of the game, pittsburgh would not have won.

    But, anyways, they did win. Go pittsburgh. I feel bad for palmer, but whatever.

    Pittsburgh vs. Colts... I think pittsburgh's going to pull it off, face NE again, and then loose... same as last year.
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    Eric, the difference with Indy is that they have home field advantage, something they have not had in the past. Peyton should not have any problem running his no-huddle and they will be on turf. Indy goes all the way and then wins in Detroit.
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    I'm with Aaron. Unless there's an injury or something freaky, there's no way they don't win SB XL. The Pats will probably lose to the Broncos (bad run defense vs. amazing run offense=unsightly loss) and the Colts will destroy the Steelers (and I am a die-hard Stiller fan) I hate to say it, but that MNF game was no fluke
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    The COLTS will crush who??????? The steelers!.....Keep MFL Prognosticating to the EXPERTS. The colts were lucky to even keep that game close....except for some UGLY UGLY UGLY officiating but let's not go there. OMF! I rarely find a moment where every person at a bar goes that's too obviously a turnover, then the REF overturns it. I mean three knees hit...what ever crack he's on I want me some because that shit is F'in good....LOL
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    Whatever, Daryl...
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Daryl,

    About 99% of experts had the Colts winning. The Colts are the better team by far (this comes from an obsessed Steeler fan), they just didn't play like themselves on Sunday, and the Steelers had their best game of the year. It happens. It doesn't mean I suck (though it also doesn't mean I don't suck. I could be convinced)
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    Ohhhhhh....Let me guess! The Denver Bronco's are gonna crush "The Steeler's" this week????...As you can tell I'm a DIE-HARD Steeler Fan, through and through. I maybe a little bias... ;o) I'm much more worried about this week then the previous two.
    Prediction: 20-17 final...last minute field goal by Elam!... :o((((((( to keep it close.....STEELERS still win. :o))))))
    Sorry I'm a Steeler!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    PS: I would like to here your prediction all the same.
    PPS: I have been in football pools the last two years against so-called football guru's and have beaten them all two years in a row. I understand football and psychological mumbo jumbo and TALENT....my word is solid. LOL
    PPS: Seattle vs Steelers - Superbowl(If Deshaun was healthy it would be Carolina)
    Daryl
  • Aaron · 3 years ago
    My bet is you wouldn't put anything on that. :)
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Oh yeah. I'll take the Steelers by ten:

    24-14

    and the Panthers by 4:

    31-27

    Anyone know what the spread is on these games?
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    Aaron,

    I would bet on that! for sure.

    Jesse,

    I can't argue with your predictions even the scores are pretty good. I'm not sure the Panther/Seattle game is gonna get that high but they have no wind/precipitation to contend with so .... MAYBE! Low scoring I like Panthers...High scoring I like Seattle. I just don't think Panthers have enough weapons to get into a shootout. For your prediction to come true Nick G has to have a very good game, I just can't see it. Last year when he was used a bit, he had 5 of 8(approx) 100 yd games but this year he's been used rarely. Tough spot!!!!

    I'm still sticking with Steelers / Seattle. I had Jurevicius as my third wide receiver in my fantasy pool so I've watched plenty of Seattle games. Although, I have a couple of football guys (Falcon and 49'er...;o) that picked Carolina to go all the way to the Superbowl before the playoffs began.... to lose of course in the big show, but at least make it! These are NFC guys so they know their stuff a little more then I...I'm AFC of course! ;o)

    The spreads...

    NFL Lines Conference Championships - NFL Line AFC & NFC Championship Games - NFL Playoff Games Date 1/22, 2006
    Date & Time Favorite NFL Line Underdog Total
    1/22 3:00 ET At Denver -3 Pittsburgh 41
    1/22 6:30 ET At Seattle -3.5 Carolina 43.5

    So it's Denver vs Seattle in the Superbowl according to the GURU's! :O))))))
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Denver-Pit are dead-even. 3 points is for home field
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    That's how that works eh?!?!?! I'm not a spreads guy....That's good info to know though. I had no idea 3pts is given to every home game. Although it does make sense.
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    Not bad, not bad. I was 1/2, you were 2/2
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    I just didn't see the blowouts coming....I was pretty confident in my picks but not the final scores at all. I thought all 4 defenses were fairly equal...hmmm I guess not.

    Well Jesse.....

    I'm gonna stick with my "STEELERS" it's an away game and they are the "Road Warriors". Bettis at home, his first superbowl, his last game, it's been ten yrs since the steelers lost to the Cowboys, Ben is on fire, all the guru's have stated all year the AFC is the stronger division. There's just too many things ringing in my head saying...Take the steeeeeelers, take the steeeelers -7!!!! OK its not saying bye 7 ...LOL That's just me wishful thinking.

    It should be a great game.....I'm pumped!

    Final Score: 24-17

    It was fun talking to you guys.....

    Ciao, Daryl
  • Jesse · 3 years ago
    The only thing the steelers need to be worried about is overlooking the seahawks
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    Ohhhhhh....you don't have to worry, that ain't gonna happen! They are too well coached and they are hungry. It's gonna be a fun ride.....LOL
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    One last set of stat's that I put together...

    Let me give you some STAT's why the SEAHAWKS Lose....If you wanna cheat just read the last lines.

    The Seahawks play in a defensive weak division, bar none (Arizona, San Fran and St Louis) the weakest so all their stats are blown up exponentially.

    Here we go....the Seahawks have only played 6 games all year were they have played fairly good Defense...(NOT ELITE TOP 5 like Pittsburgh)

    (a)Jacksonville WK 1 = 26 - 14 L
    (a)Washington Wk 4 20 - 17 L
    (h)Dallas Wk 7 13 - 10 W
    (h)NYG Wk 11 24 - 21 W
    (h)Washington Playoff 20 - 10 W
    (h)Carolina Playoff 34 - 14

    So they are 4 - 2 vs decent defenses (NOT ELITE like Pittsburgh)(6 games total all year), Pitt are 9 - 4 vs decent defenses(13 total).

    Seattle score an average of 20.333 pts/game against decent defensive teams. Pittsburgh has scored 29.333 pts/game.

    But more importantly against decent defensive teams on the road Seattle are 0 - 2. You can't ignore that stat. Pittsburgh is 6 - 2 on the Road versus decent defensive teams.

    You be the judge, however, we all know stat's don't win games... ;o)

    I'm excited...It should be a hell of a weekend!
  • Daryl · 3 years ago
    One last comment....

    Steelers Win, Steelers Win....;o)))) Soft Seattle are 0-3 on the Road against good D's.